Willis Towers Watson says Private Equity’s weathering the Covid-19 economic slowdown
Private equity investments appear to be weathering the impact of Covid-19 across multiple sectors and geographies, according to the results of a study by Willis Towers Watson, indicating that despite a subdued environment for exit deals in the first six months of the year, there has been little evidence of forced exits.
The survey, which took place in April 2020 across 36 private equity funds globally, representing 300+ portfolio companies, was designed to better understand how businesses were coping as a result of the pandemic, as well as setting out expectations for the coming months.
The results revealed that the significant turmoil in capital markets had little effect on the capital structures of portfolio companies, with 87% of respondents indicating that their holdings were unlikely to breach covenants as a result. Only 13% said holdings were either close, or likely to, breach covenants in the next two to three months.
On the issue of customer demand for products or services, however, the response was far more varied with 46% of respondents reporting that their holdings were feeling a medium-to-high impact from the slowdown in global economies, mostly within the consumer discretionary, industrials, energy and materials sectors. In contrast, sentiment among commercial services firms remained robust, while 20% of consumer staples firms even reported a positive impact on demand.
The impact on businesses’ supply chains and their own internal operations also remained small, with around 80% of respondents showing low levels of concern on either point, indicating that most private equity-held businesses effectively implemented alternative working arrangements to work around any disruptions arising from the Covid-19 crisis.
Claire Shen, Associate Director, Investments, Manager Research Asia at Willis Towers Watson, said: “In common with the situation globally, private equity-owned companies in China have a number of structural advantages that may have allowed them to navigate such a crisis better. While debt availability is relatively limited for small to medium sized enterprises, the additional access to equity from their sponsors, in addition to the expertise provided by private equity managers, may also have provided some respite.”
“The first half of the year has seen a subdued environment for exit deals in China. Managers are taking their time to re-evaluate portfolio companies before considering new investments, and with volumes depressed, new deal value could also be reduced. Opportunities remain for private equity in China, however, particularly in areas where Covid-19 is accelerating growth, such as healthcare, technology and firms with online-centric business models,” Shen continued.